Sunday, February 7, 2010

Which institutions are already using FICO ’08, and how much will the new version lower my score?

The "selling point" of FICO '08 is broad based. The Fair Isaac Company said, "The strongest improvements in risk prediction over current FICO scores are achieved in key consumer segments such as those opening new accounts or having prior derogatory information. In addition, this newest generation of FICO scores includes refinements to help lenders better evaluate consumers who are comparatively new to credit." Fine, but what does that mean?

A webinar put on by the company in September of 2009 allowed for some interesting interchange. We were told that people with very high scores would be unaffected, but those in the lower ranges could expect to see their scores drop by as much as 10 to 30 points. That statistic is NOT published anywhere, lest you go looking for it. The new version would also identify authorized user accounts that had been set up for the sole purpose of creating the appearance of a long-established trade line. We were told that collection accounts less than $100 would not affect the score, nor would an isolated late payment if the consumer had an otherwise stellar payment history.

What version of FICO is being used to generate my score?

Remember when Microsoft's Windows '95 was getting all the press? Since then there have been a multitude of newer and better versions of the operating system, and right now Microsoft is promoting Windows 7. FICO is nothing more than a software algorithm that crawls through the data on your credit report; much the same way as Google will crawl through web sites looking for content. The purpose of the FICO software is to try and predict your chances of defaulting on future debt obligations within the next 2 to 3 years. So how many versions of FICO are out there?

At least three that we know of. Until recently, the mortgage industry was able to use a version written back in 1998. This was only available for the data contained in a Trans Union report, but nevertheless, there were instances when the 1998 version gave you a higher Trans Union FICO score, and those 5 to 10 points were sometimes the difference in getting a loan.

Most banks using FICO are using the version created in 2004, which is commonly referred to as FICO Classic. The Fair Isaac Company is aggressively promoting the newest version of FICO which has been dubbed FICO '08.